Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.044825 0.052288 0.060490 0.070157 0.081221 0.093472 0.108048
2025-06-01 0.033610 0.043346 0.055036 0.070039 0.088709 0.111099 0.139899
2025-06-08 0.025368 0.035788 0.049320 0.068029 0.093049 0.125159 0.169253
2025-06-15 0.021397 0.032646 0.048280 0.071317 0.104059 0.148522 0.212974
2025-06-22 0.017498 0.028713 0.045306 0.071217 0.110123 0.165693 0.250193
2025-06-29 0.014128 0.024829 0.041614 0.069275 0.112952 0.178266 0.281955
2025-07-06 0.011749 0.022004 0.038980 0.068365 0.116925 0.192592 0.317422
2025-07-13 0.010676 0.021143 0.039306 0.072110 0.128481 0.219455 0.374497
2025-07-20 0.009589 0.020036 0.038997 0.074650 0.138212 0.244210 0.430400
2025-07-27 0.008103 0.017894 0.036499 0.072948 0.140386 0.256607 0.467005
2025-08-03 0.007000 0.016288 0.034722 0.072247 0.144117 0.271797 0.509441
2025-08-10 0.005914 0.014507 0.032319 0.069987 0.144635 0.281267 0.542559
2025-08-17 0.005037 0.013033 0.030348 0.068389 0.146371 0.293374 0.582083
2025-08-24 0.004447 0.012099 0.029360 0.068647 0.151738 0.312658 0.636478
2025-08-31 0.003791 0.010869 0.027528 0.066856 0.152743 0.323731 0.676415
2025-09-07 0.003566 0.010680 0.028017 0.070188 0.164718 0.357162 0.762093
2025-09-14 0.003161 0.009929 0.027067 0.070137 0.169449 0.376556 0.821777
2025-09-21 0.002713 0.008961 0.025430 0.068246 0.169899 0.387213 0.864748
2025-09-28 0.002377 0.008238 0.024285 0.067360 0.172474 0.402456 0.918269
2025-10-05 0.002280 0.008213 0.024957 0.071060 0.186031 0.442206 1.026054
2025-10-12 0.002139 0.008022 0.025153 0.073569 0.197020 0.477256 1.126446
2025-10-19 0.001862 0.007320 0.023816 0.071892 0.197700 0.489546 1.178565
2025-10-26 0.001652 0.006796 0.022898 0.071201 0.200723 0.507326 1.244064